Can Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 championship?
Certain, he can. Nonetheless will he? No he won’t, and right here is why.
As points in the intervening time stand, championship chief Max Verstappen has 331 elements and Norris is 52 elements behind with 279. There are six races left this season: Austin, Mexico, Brazil, Las Vegas, Qatar and Abu Dhabi. Of those six races Austin, Brazil and Qatar are sprint races.
If by some miracle Norris was able to win every remaining race, finish first in each of the sprint races AND get the quickest lap each weekend he would accrue 180 elements in full. Clearly the probabilities of that going down are terribly low no matter being theoretically attainable. If Verstappen have been to finish second in every race, along with the sprints, with out getting any quickest laps he would earn 129 elements. That may be a distinction of 51 elements, one degree wanting the outlet. Do you see the difficulty?
Even when Norris is right for the rest of the season, the championship is not in his administration. Not solely are Norris’ championship hopes reliant on the effectivity of Verstappen, nevertheless teams like Ferrari and Mercedes have their moments, and each is a danger to take elements away from Verstappen and Norris, as is Norris’ private teammate, Oscar Piastri.
Whereas McLaren are the crew to beat correct now, that doesn’t primarily indicate will in all probability be by the purpose vehicles hit the monitor in Austin. Teams like Crimson Bull and Mercedes are bringing essential enhance packages to Austin to aim to restore the problems they have been having. Mercedes and Ferrari have been quick spherical Austin closing 12 months, so each crew would possibly spoil the event for Verstappen and Norris.
Norris’ biggest hope in profitable the championship is determined by having a little bit little bit of luck come his method, which everybody is aware of in sports activities actions doesn’t on a regular basis happen. Norris needs Verstappen to make a unusual mistake or have reliability factors like he did in Australia, and if which were to happen Norris should be the one capitalizing, not his teammate Piastri.
Norris should steer clear of making errors himself, like shedding positions on lap one and practically clipping a wall whereas most important the Singapore Grand Prix by 30 seconds. If he must take the title, his most interesting odds rely on Verstappen having not lower than one terribly harmful weekend or maybe a DNF.
In the long run the 2024 Elements 1 season is coming proper all the way down to an exhilarating finish, which is sweet data for followers and the sport as a complete. For the first time since 2021 we’re witnessing an actual title fight as a result of the season winds down following two years of Verstappen and Crimson Bull’s dominance.
Whereas Norris will not pretty have the power to get better from the hump this season, not lower than a pathway is there and we have some drama down the stretch. So buckle up because of this season is means from over and one thing can happen in Elements 1.
