Can Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 championship?
Sure, he can. However will he? No he will not, and here is why.
As issues at the moment stand, championship chief Max Verstappen has 331 factors and Norris is 52 factors behind with 279. There are six races left this season: Austin, Mexico, Brazil, Las Vegas, Qatar and Abu Dhabi. Of these six races Austin, Brazil and Qatar are dash races.
If by some miracle Norris was capable of win each remaining race, end first in every of the dash races AND get the quickest lap every weekend he would accrue 180 factors in complete. Clearly the chances of that taking place are extraordinarily low regardless of being theoretically attainable. If Verstappen have been to complete second in each race, together with the sprints, with out getting any quickest laps he would earn 129 factors. That is a distinction of 51 factors, one level wanting the hole. Do you see the issue?
Even when Norris is ideal for the remainder of the season, the championship isn’t in his management. Not solely are Norris’ championship hopes reliant on the efficiency of Verstappen, however groups like Ferrari and Mercedes have their moments, and every is a risk to take factors away from Verstappen and Norris, as is Norris’ personal teammate, Oscar Piastri.
Whereas McLaren are the crew to beat proper now, that does not essentially imply will probably be by the point automobiles hit the monitor in Austin. Groups like Crimson Bull and Mercedes are bringing important improve packages to Austin to attempt to repair the issues they’ve been having. Mercedes and Ferrari have been fast round Austin final 12 months, so both crew might spoil the occasion for Verstappen and Norris.
Norris’ greatest hope in successful the championship depends on having a little bit of luck come his approach, which everyone knows in sports activities does not all the time occur. Norris wants Verstappen to make a uncommon mistake or have reliability points like he did in Australia, and if that have been to occur Norris must be the one capitalizing, not his teammate Piastri.
Norris must keep away from making errors himself, like shedding positions on lap one and nearly clipping a wall whereas main the Singapore Grand Prix by 30 seconds. If he needs to take the title, his finest odds depend on Verstappen having not less than one extraordinarily dangerous weekend or perhaps a DNF.
In the end the 2024 Components 1 season is coming right down to an exhilarating end, which is nice information for followers and the game as an entire. For the primary time since 2021 we’re witnessing a real title combat because the season winds down following two years of Verstappen and Crimson Bull’s dominance.
Whereas Norris won’t fairly have the ability to recover from the hump this season, not less than a pathway is there and we’ve some drama down the stretch. So buckle up as a result of this season is way from over and something can occur in Components 1.
